As per a research report by Colliers in February, it is expected that industrial property rents and prices in Singapore will decline this year due to an increase in supply and a drop in demand. The firm predicts that the overall annual industrial rental and price growth will moderate to between 0% to 2% in 2025, compared to the 3.5% growth recorded for both categories in the previous year.
According to Colliers, the latest data from JTC for the fourth quarter of 2024 indicates a weakening market. The rental index for all industrial properties has been increasing for 17 consecutive quarters, rising 0.5% from the previous quarter and reaching a total growth of 3.5% for the year. However, this is significantly lower than the 8.9% rental growth seen in 2023. The price index has also seen a similar trend, with a growth of 0.5% in the fourth quarter of 2024, compared to 1.2% in the previous quarter. In total, industrial property prices saw an increase of 2.1% in 2024, which is less than half of the 5.1% increase in 2023.
The report states that the supply of industrial space is expected to rise this year, with more than double the supply of the previous year before tapering off from 2026 onwards. This oversupply, along with lower demand due to high interest rates and increasing operating costs, is expected to keep rental growth in check.
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Moreover, the uncertainty brought by global trade protectionism could also impact business confidence and investment decisions, further dampening the demand for industrial properties.
On the positive side, Colliers predicts that the demand for industrial space will continue to be supported by the semiconductors, logistics, and advanced manufacturing sectors. It also expects leasing activities to pick up gradually as market sentiments improve and policies become clearer, driven by the ongoing upturn in the chip cycle.
Given the higher supply and projected moderation in rents, Colliers suggests that this year could be beneficial for tenants, with more options available in the market. The upcoming industrial developments, equipped with modern specifications, may also encourage businesses to move from older, aging manufacturing spaces to newer projects.
Nicolas Menville, executive director and head of Singapore-based industrial clients for Colliers, advises anyone interested in industrial properties to check out the latest listings on Ask Buddy, which provides information on past industrial rental and sale transactions, as well as price trends for both industrial and commercial properties.…